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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Application Research on Two-Layer Threat Prediction Model Based on Event Graph

    Shuqin Zhang, Xinyu Su*, Yunfei Han, Tianhui Du, Peiyu Shi

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.77, No.3, pp. 3993-4023, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.044526 - 26 December 2023

    Abstract Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) is now the most common network assault. However, the existing threat analysis models cannot simultaneously predict the macro-development trend and micro-propagation path of APT attacks. They cannot provide rapid and accurate early warning and decision responses to the present system state because they are inadequate at deducing the risk evolution rules of network threats. To address the above problems, firstly, this paper constructs the multi-source threat element analysis ontology (MTEAO) by integrating multi-source network security knowledge bases. Subsequently, based on MTEAO, we propose a two-layer threat prediction model (TL-TPM) that combines… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Threat Modeling and Application Research Based on Multi-Source Attack and Defense Knowledge

    Shuqin Zhang, Xinyu Su*, Peiyu Shi, Tianhui Du, Yunfei Han

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.77, No.1, pp. 349-377, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.040964 - 31 October 2023

    Abstract Cyber Threat Intelligence (CTI) is a valuable resource for cybersecurity defense, but it also poses challenges due to its multi-source and heterogeneous nature. Security personnel may be unable to use CTI effectively to understand the condition and trend of a cyberattack and respond promptly. To address these challenges, we propose a novel approach that consists of three steps. First, we construct the attack and defense analysis of the cybersecurity ontology (ADACO) model by integrating multiple cybersecurity databases. Second, we develop the threat evolution prediction algorithm (TEPA), which can automatically detect threats at device nodes, correlate More >

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