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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Stochastic Model to Assess the Epidemiological Impact of Vaccine Booster Doses on COVID-19 and Viral Hepatitis B Co-Dynamics with Real Data

    Andrew Omame1,2,*, Mujahid Abbas3,6, Dumitru Baleanu4,5,6

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.138, No.3, pp. 2973-3012, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.029681 - 15 December 2023

    Abstract A patient co-infected with COVID-19 and viral hepatitis B can be at more risk of severe complications than the one infected with a single infection. This study develops a comprehensive stochastic model to assess the epidemiological impact of vaccine booster doses on the co-dynamics of viral hepatitis B and COVID-19. The model is fitted to real COVID-19 data from Pakistan. The proposed model incorporates logistic growth and saturated incidence functions. Rigorous analyses using the tools of stochastic calculus, are performed to study appropriate conditions for the existence of unique global solutions, stationary distribution in the More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Stochastic Models to Mitigate Sparse Sensor Attacks in Continuous-Time Non-Linear Cyber-Physical Systems

    Borja Bordel Sánchez1,*, Ramón Alcarria2, Tomás Robles1

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.76, No.3, pp. 3189-3218, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.039466 - 08 October 2023

    Abstract Cyber-Physical Systems are very vulnerable to sparse sensor attacks. But current protection mechanisms employ linear and deterministic models which cannot detect attacks precisely. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a new non-linear generalized model to describe Cyber-Physical Systems. This model includes unknown multivariable discrete and continuous-time functions and different multiplicative noises to represent the evolution of physical processes and random effects in the physical and computational worlds. Besides, the digitalization stage in hardware devices is represented too. Attackers and most critical sparse sensor attacks are described through a stochastic process. The reconstruction and protection mechanisms… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Stochastic Epidemic Model of Covid-19 via the Reservoir-People Transmission Network

    Kazem Nouri1,*, Milad Fahimi1, Leila Torkzadeh1, Dumitru Baleanu2,3

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.72, No.1, pp. 1495-1514, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.024406 - 24 February 2022

    Abstract The novel Coronavirus COVID-19 emerged in Wuhan, China in December 2019. COVID-19 has rapidly spread among human populations and other mammals. The outbreak of COVID-19 has become a global challenge. Mathematical models of epidemiological systems enable studying and predicting the potential spread of disease. Modeling and predicting the evolution of COVID-19 epidemics in near real-time is a scientific challenge, this requires a deep understanding of the dynamics of pandemics and the possibility that the diffusion process can be completely random. In this paper, we develop and analyze a model to simulate the Coronavirus transmission dynamics… More >

  • Open Access

    REVIEW

    A Contemporary Review on Drought Modeling Using Machine Learning Approaches

    Karpagam Sundararajan1, Lalit Garg2,*, Kathiravan Srinivasan4,*, Ali Kashif Bashir3, Jayakumar Kaliappan4, Ganapathy Pattukandan Ganapathy5, Senthil Kumaran Selvaraj6, T. Meena7

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.128, No.2, pp. 447-487, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2021.015528 - 22 July 2021

    Abstract Drought is the least understood natural disaster due to the complex relationship of multiple contributory factors. Its beginning and end are hard to gauge, and they can last for months or even for years. India has faced many droughts in the last few decades. Predicting future droughts is vital for framing drought management plans to sustain natural resources. The data-driven modelling for forecasting the metrological time series prediction is becoming more powerful and flexible with computational intelligence techniques. Machine learning (ML) techniques have demonstrated success in the drought prediction process and are becoming popular to More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Numerical Control Measures of Stochastic Malaria Epidemic Model

    Muhammad Rafiq1, Ali Ahmadian2, *, Ali Raza3, Dumitru Baleanu4, Muhammad Sarwar Ahsan1, Mohammad Hasan Abdul Sathar5

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.65, No.1, pp. 33-51, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.010893 - 23 July 2020

    Abstract Nonlinear stochastic modeling has significant role in the all discipline of sciences. The essential control measuring features of modeling are positivity, boundedness and dynamical consistency. Unfortunately, the existing stochastic methods in literature do not restore aforesaid control measuring features, particularly for the stochastic models. Therefore, these gaps should be occupied up in literature, by constructing the control measuring features numerical method. We shall present a numerical control measures for stochastic malaria model in this manuscript. The results of the stochastic model are discussed in contrast of its equivalent deterministic model. If the basic reproduction number More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Numerical Simulations for Stochastic Computer Virus Propagation Model

    Muhammad Shoaib Arif1, *, Ali Raza1, Muhammad Rafiq2, Mairaj Bibi3, Javeria Nawaz Abbasi3, Amna Nazeer3, Umer Javed4

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.62, No.1, pp. 61-77, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.08595

    Abstract We are presenting the numerical simulations for the stochastic computer virus propagation model in this manuscript. We are comparing the solutions of stochastic and deterministic computer virus models. Outcomes of a threshold number R0 hold in stochastic computer virus model. If R0 < 1 then in such a condition virus controlled in the computer population while R0 > 1 shows virus rapidly spread in the computer population. Unfortunately, stochastic numerical techniques fail to cope with large step sizes of time. The suggested structure of the stochastic non-standard finite difference technique can never violate the dynamical properties. On More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Stochastic Numerical Analysis for Computer Virus Model with Vertical Transmission Over the Internet

    Muhammad Shoaib Arif1, Ali Raza1, Wasfi Shatanawi2, 3, *, Muhammad Rafiq4, Mairaj Bibi5

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.61, No.3, pp. 1025-1043, 2019, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2019.08405

    Abstract We are presenting the numerical analysis for stochastic SLBR model of computer virus over the internet in this manuscript. We are going to present the results of stochastic and deterministic computer virus model. Outcomes of the threshold number C* hold in stochastic computer virus model. If C*<1 then in such a condition virus controlled in the computer population while C*>1 shows virus spread in the computer population. Unfortunately, stochastic numerical techniques fail to cope with large step sizes of time. The suggested structure of the stochastic non-standard finite difference scheme (SNSFD) maintains all diverse characteristics More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Stochastic Macro Material Properties, Through Direct Stochastic Modeling of Heterogeneous Microstructures with Randomness of Constituent Properties and Topologies, by Using Trefftz Computational Grains (TCG)

    Leiting Dong1,2, Salah H. Gamal3, Satya N. Atluri2,4

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.37, No.1, pp. 1-21, 2013, DOI:10.3970/cmc.2013.037.001

    Abstract In this paper, a simple and reliable procedure of stochastic computation is combined with the highly accurate and efficient Trefftz Computational Grains (TCG), for a direct numerical simulation (DNS) of heterogeneous materials with microscopic randomness. Material properties of each material phase, and geometrical properties such as particles sizes and distribution, are considered to be stochastic with either a uniform or normal probabilistic distributions. The objective here is to determine how this microscopic randomness propagates to the macroscopic scale, and affects the stochastic characteristics of macroscopic material properties. Four steps are included in this procedure: (1)… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Viscoelasticity of Living Materials: Mechanics and Chemistry of Muscle as an Active Macromolecular System

    Hong Qian*

    Molecular & Cellular Biomechanics, Vol.5, No.2, pp. 107-118, 2008, DOI:10.3970/mcb.2008.005.107

    Abstract At the molecular and cellular level, mechanics and chemistry are two aspects of the same macromolecular system. We present a bottom-up approach to such systems based on Kramers' diffusion theory of chemical reactions, the theory of polymer dynamics, and the recently developed models for molecular motors. Using muscle as an example, we develop a viscoelastic theory of muscle in terms of an simple equation for single motor protein movement. Both A.V. Hill's contractile component and A.F. Huxley's equation of sliding-filament motion are shown to be special cases of the general viscoelastic theory of the active More >

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