S. Dickson¹, S. Padmasekaran¹, Pushpendra Kumar^2,*, Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar³, Hamidreza Marasi⁴

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.139, No.3, pp. 2265-2287, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.030286 - 11 March 2024

Abstract This research examines the transmission dynamics of the Omicron variant of COVID-19 using SEIQI_cRVW and SQIRV models, considering the delay in converting susceptible individuals into infected ones. The significant delays eventually resulted in the pandemic’s containment. To ensure the safety of the host population, this concept integrates quarantine and the COVID-19 vaccine. We investigate the stability of the proposed models. The fundamental reproduction number influences stability conditions. According to our findings, asymptomatic cases considerably impact the prevalence of Omicron infection in the community. The real data of the Omicron variant from Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India, is More >

Lakhlifa Sadek¹, Otmane Sadek¹, Hamad Talibi Alaoui², Mohammed S. Abdo³, Kamal Shah^4,5, Thabet Abdeljawad^4,6,*

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.136, No.2, pp. 1931-1950, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2023.025033 - 06 February 2023

Abstract In this work, we present a model that uses the fractional order Caputo derivative for the novel Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) with different hospitalization strategies for severe and mild cases and incorporate an awareness program. We generalize the SEIR model of the spread of COVID-19 with a private focus on the transmissibility of people who are aware of the disease and follow preventative health measures and people who are ignorant of the disease and do not follow preventive health measures. Moreover, individuals with severe, mild symptoms and asymptomatically infected are also considered. The basic reproduction… More >

Inthira Chaiya¹, Kamonchat Trachoo¹, Kamsing Nonlaopon², Din Prathumwan^2,*

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.71, No.2, pp. 2981-2998, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.021856 - 07 December 2021

Abstract In this paper, we developed a mathematical model for Streptococcus suis, which is an epidemic by considering the moisture that affects the infection. The disease is caused by Streptococcus suis infection found in pigs which can be transmitted to humans. The patients of Streptococcus suis were generally found in adults males and the elderly who contacted pigs or who ate uncooked pork. In human cases, the infection can cause a severe illness and death. This disease has an impact to the financial losses in the swine industry. In the development of models for this disease, we have divided the… More >

Ahmet Savasan¹, Bilgen Kaymakamzade^1,2, Nezihal Gokbulut^1,2,*, Evren Hincal^1,2, Elcin Yoldascan³

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.130, No.1, pp. 133-148, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.017815 - 29 November 2021

Abstract The aim of this study is to examine the progress of the worldwide pandemic Covid-19. As authors, we have decided to analyze the situation of COVID-19 on Mediterranean island with accurate data. For this purpose, a mathematical model is constructed and proposed by dividing the whole population into sensible and suitable compartments. The study captures the dates February 01 till May 15, 2021. For the control of the spread of disease, vaccination and infection rates are compared and calculated. During calculations and comparison, MatLab software is used. All of the data that are used are… More >

Nazife Sultanoglu^1,2,*, Nezihal Gokbulut³, Tamer Sanlidag², Evren Hincal^2,3, Bilgen Kaymakamzade^2,3, Murat Sayan^2,4

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.128, No.2, pp. 717-729, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2021.016297 - 22 July 2021

Abstract Northern Cyprus has implemented relatively strict measures in the battle against the outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The measures were introduced at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, in order to prevent the spread of the disease. One of these measures was the use of two separate real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) tests for SARS-CoV-2 referred to as the double screening procedure, which was adopted following the re-opening of the sea, air and land borders for passengers after the first lockdown. The rRT-PCR double screening procedure involved reporting a… More >

Avaneesh Singh^*, Manish Kumar Bajpai

CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.125, No.3, pp. 991-1031, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.012503 - 15 December 2020

Abstract We have proposed a new mathematical method, the SEIHCRD model, which has an excellent potential to predict the incidence of COVID-19 diseases. Our proposed SEIHCRD model is an extension of the SEIR model. Three-compartments have added death, hospitalized, and critical, which improves the basic understanding of disease spread and results. We have studied COVID-19 cases of six countries, where the impact of this disease in the highest are Brazil, India, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States. After estimating model parameters based on available clinical data, the model will propagate and forecast dynamic… More >

Muhammad Naveed^{1, *}, Dumitru Baleanu^{2, 3, 4}, Muhammad Rafiq⁵, Ali Raza⁶, Atif Hassan Soori¹, Nauman Ahmed⁷

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.65, No.1, pp. 225-241, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011534 - 23 July 2020

Abstract Mathematical delay modelling has a significant role in the different disciplines such as behavioural, social, physical, biological engineering, and bio-mathematical sciences. The present work describes mathematical formulation for the transmission mechanism of a novel coronavirus (COVID-19). Due to the unavailability of vaccines for the coronavirus worldwide, delay factors such as social distance, quarantine, travel restrictions, extended holidays, hospitalization, and isolation have contributed to controlling the coronavirus epidemic. We have analysed the reproduction number and its sensitivity to parameters. If, More >

Muhammad Naveed¹, Muhammad Rafiq², Ali Raza³, Nauman Ahmed⁴, Ilyas Khan^{5, *}, Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar⁶, Atif Hassan Soori¹

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.64, No.3, pp. 1401-1414, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2020.011314 - 30 June 2020

Abstract In this manuscript, the mathematical analysis of corona virus model with time delay effect is studied. Mathematical modelling of infectious diseases has substantial role in the different disciplines such as biological, engineering, physical, social, behavioural problems and many more. Most of infectious diseases are dreadful such as HIV/AIDS, Hepatitis and 2019-nCov. Unfortunately, due to the non-availability of vaccine for 2019- nCov around the world, the delay factors like, social distancing, quarantine, travel restrictions, holidays extension, hospitalization and isolation are used as key tools to control the pandemic of 2019-nCov. We have analysed the reproduction number R_nCov More >