Jiaqi He1, Yangjun Luo1,2,*
CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.125, No.2, pp. 777-800, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.010688
- 12 October 2020
Abstract For structures that only the predicted bounds of uncertainties are
available, this study proposes a Bayesian method to logically evaluate the nonprobabilistic reliability of structures based on multi-ellipsoid convex model
and performance test data. According to the given interval ranges of uncertainties, we determine the initial characteristic parameters of a multi-ellipsoid
convex set. Moreover, to update the plausibility of characteristic parameters,
a Bayesian network for the information fusion of prior uncertainty knowledge and subsequent performance test data is constructed. Then, an updated
multi-ellipsoid set with the maximum likelihood of the performance test data
can be More >