Daixuan Zhou¹, Yujin Liu¹, Xu Wang², Fuxing Wang¹, Yan Jia^2,*

Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.12, pp. 3573-3616, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2024.055853 - 22 November 2024

Abstract With the increasing proportion of renewable energy in China’s energy structure, among which photovoltaic power generation is also developing rapidly. As the photovoltaic (PV) power output is highly unstable and subject to a variety of factors, it brings great challenges to the stable operation and dispatch of the power grid. Therefore, accurate short-term PV power prediction is of great significance to ensure the safe grid connection of PV energy. Currently, the short-term prediction of PV power has received extensive attention and research, but the accuracy and precision of the prediction have to be further improved. More > Graphic Abstract

Yuxuan Zhao^1,2,*, Bo Wang¹, Shu Wang¹, Wenjun Xu², Gang Ma²

Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.12, pp. 3711-3733, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2024.054032 - 22 November 2024

Abstract The output of photovoltaic power stations is significantly affected by environmental factors, leading to intermittent and fluctuating power generation. With the increasing frequency of extreme weather events due to global warming, photovoltaic power stations may experience drastic reductions in power generation or even complete shutdowns during such conditions. The integration of these stations on a large scale into the power grid could potentially pose challenges to system stability. To address this issue, in this study, we propose a network architecture based on VMD-KELM for predicting the power output of photovoltaic power plants during severe weather… More >

Yingnan Zhao^*, Yuyuan Ruan, Zhen Peng

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.81, No.1, pp. 549-566, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2024.056240 - 15 October 2024

Abstract As the penetration ratio of wind power in active distribution networks continues to increase, the system exhibits some characteristics such as randomness and volatility. Fast and accurate short-term wind power prediction is essential for algorithms like scheduling and optimization control. Based on the spatio-temporal features of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) data, it proposes the WVMD_DSN (Whale Optimization Algorithm, Variational Mode Decomposition, Dual Stream Network) model. The model first applies Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) to choose some NWP features with strong correlation to wind power to form the feature set. Then, it decomposes the feature set More >

Yujin Liu¹, Zhenkai Zhang¹, Li Ma¹, Yan Jia^1,2,*, Weihua Yin³, Zhifeng Liu³

Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.10, pp. 3019-3035, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2024.052594 - 11 September 2024

Abstract Accurate short-term photovoltaic (PV) power prediction helps to improve the economic efficiency of power stations and is of great significance to the arrangement of grid scheduling plans. In order to improve the accuracy of PV power prediction further, this paper proposes a data cleaning method combining density clustering and support vector machine. It constructs a short-term PV power prediction model based on particle swarm optimization (PSO) optimized Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. Firstly, the input features are determined using Pearson’s correlation coefficient. The feature information is clustered using density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise More >

Jing Gao^*, Mingxuan Ji, Hongjiang Wang, Zhongxiao Du

CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.79, No.3, pp. 5017-5030, 2024, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2024.050158 - 20 June 2024

Abstract With the continuous advancement of China’s “peak carbon dioxide emissions and Carbon Neutrality” process, the proportion of wind power is increasing. In the current research, aiming at the problem that the forecasting model is outdated due to the continuous updating of wind power data, a short-term wind power forecasting algorithm based on Incremental Learning-Bagging Deep Hybrid Kernel Extreme Learning Machine (IL-Bagging-DHKELM) error affinity propagation cluster analysis is proposed. The algorithm effectively combines deep hybrid kernel extreme learning machine (DHKELM) with incremental learning (IL). Firstly, an initial wind power prediction model is trained using the Bagging-DHKELM… More >

Yuanjun Dai, Haonan Li, Baohua Li^*

Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.6, pp. 1607-1636, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2024.047255 - 21 May 2024

Abstract This paper addresses the micro wind-hydrogen coupled system, aiming to improve the power tracking capability of micro wind farms, the regulation capability of hydrogen storage systems, and to mitigate the volatility of wind power generation. A predictive control strategy for the micro wind-hydrogen coupled system is proposed based on the ultra-short-term wind power prediction, the hydrogen storage state division interval, and the daily scheduled output of wind power generation. The control strategy maximizes the power tracking capability, the regulation capability of the hydrogen storage system, and the fluctuation of the joint output of the wind-hydrogen… More >

Bin Chen¹, Ziyang Li¹, Shipeng Li¹, Qingzhou Zhao¹, Xingdou Liu^2,*

Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.5, pp. 1291-1307, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2024.046374 - 30 April 2024

Abstract To reduce carbon emissions, clean energy is being integrated into the power system. Wind power is connected to the grid in a distributed form, but its high variability poses a challenge to grid stability. This article combines wind turbine monitoring data with numerical weather prediction (NWP) data to create a suitable wind power prediction framework for distributed grids. First, high-precision NWP of the turbine range is achieved using weather research and forecasting models (WRF), and Kriging interpolation locates predicted meteorological data at the turbine site. Then, a preliminary predicted power series is obtained based on More >

Fan Xiao¹, Xiong Ping¹, Yeyang Li^2,*, Yusen Xu², Yiqun Kang¹, Dan Liu¹, Nianming Zhang¹

Energy Engineering, Vol.121, No.2, pp. 359-376, 2024, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.040887 - 25 January 2024

Abstract The fluctuation of wind power affects the operating safety and power consumption of the electric power grid and restricts the grid connection of wind power on a large scale. Therefore, wind power forecasting plays a key role in improving the safety and economic benefits of the power grid. This paper proposes a wind power predicting method based on a convolutional graph attention deep neural network with multi-wind farm data. Based on the graph attention network and attention mechanism, the method extracts spatial-temporal characteristics from the data of multiple wind farms. Then, combined with a deep… More >

Shumin Sun¹, Peng Yu¹, Jiawei Xing¹, Yan Cheng¹, Song Yang¹, Qian Ai^2,*

Energy Engineering, Vol.120, No.12, pp. 2761-2782, 2023, DOI:10.32604/ee.2023.042635 - 29 November 2023

Abstract Wind power prediction is very important for the economic dispatching of power systems containing wind power. In this work, a novel short-term wind power prediction method based on improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (ICEEMDAN) and (long short-term memory) LSTM neural network is proposed and studied. First, the original data is prepossessed including removing outliers and filling in the gaps. Then, the random forest algorithm is used to sort the importance of each meteorological factor and determine the input climate characteristics of the forecast model. In addition, this study conducts seasonal classification… More >

Tusongjiang Kari¹, Sun Guoliang², Lei Kesong¹, Ma Xiaojing^1,*, Wu Xian¹

Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing, Vol.37, No.2, pp. 1437-1452, 2023, DOI:10.32604/iasc.2023.037012 - 21 June 2023

Abstract Wind power volatility not only limits the large-scale grid connection but also poses many challenges to safe grid operation. Accurate wind power prediction can mitigate the adverse effects of wind power volatility on wind power grid connections. For the characteristics of wind power antecedent data and precedent data jointly to determine the prediction accuracy of the prediction model, the short-term prediction of wind power based on a combined neural network is proposed. First, the Bi-directional Long Short Term Memory (BiLSTM) network prediction model is constructed, and the bi-directional nature of the BiLSTM network is used… More >