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  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Empirical Assessment of Bacillus Calmette-Guérin Vaccine to Combat COVID-19

    Nikita Jain1, Vedika Gupta1,*, Chinmay Chakraborty2, Agam Madan1, Deepali Virmani3, Lorenzo Salas-Morera4, Laura Garcia-Hernandez4

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.70, No.1, pp. 213-231, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2022.016424 - 07 September 2021

    Abstract COVID-19 has become one of the critical health issues globally, which surfaced first in latter part of the year 2019. It is the topmost concern for many nations’ governments as the contagious virus started mushrooming over adjacent regions of infected areas. In 1980, a vaccine called Bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) was introduced for preventing tuberculosis and lung cancer. Countries that have made the BCG vaccine mandatory have witnessed a lesser COVID-19 fatality rate than the countries that have not made it compulsory. This paper’s initial research shows that the countries with a long-term compulsory BCG vaccination… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    SEIHCRD Model for COVID-19 Spread Scenarios, Disease Predictions and Estimates the Basic Reproduction Number, Case Fatality Rate, Hospital, and ICU Beds Requirement

    Avaneesh Singh*, Manish Kumar Bajpai

    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.125, No.3, pp. 991-1031, 2020, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2020.012503 - 15 December 2020

    Abstract We have proposed a new mathematical method, the SEIHCRD model, which has an excellent potential to predict the incidence of COVID-19 diseases. Our proposed SEIHCRD model is an extension of the SEIR model. Three-compartments have added death, hospitalized, and critical, which improves the basic understanding of disease spread and results. We have studied COVID-19 cases of six countries, where the impact of this disease in the highest are Brazil, India, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom, and the United States. After estimating model parameters based on available clinical data, the model will propagate and forecast dynamic… More >

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