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    ARTICLE

    Potentially Suitable Area and Change Trends of Tulipa iliensis under Climate Change

    Douwen Qin1,2, Weiqiang Liu1,2, Jiting Tian1,2, Xiuting Ju1,2,*

    Phyton-International Journal of Experimental Botany, Vol.93, No.5, pp. 981-1005, 2024, DOI:10.32604/phyton.2024.049668

    Abstract Tulipa iliensis, as a wild plant resource, possesses high ornamental value and can provide abundant parental materials for tulip breeding. The objective of this research was to forecast the worldwide geographical spread of Tulipa iliensis by considering bioclimatic, soil, and topographic variables, the findings of this research can act as a benchmark for the conservation, management, and utilization of Tulipa iliensis as a wild plant resource. Research results indicate that all 12 models have an area under curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) values greater than 0.968 for the paleoclimatic, current, and future climate scenarios,… More >

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