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    ARTICLE

    Application Research on Two-Layer Threat Prediction Model Based on Event Graph

    Shuqin Zhang, Xinyu Su*, Yunfei Han, Tianhui Du, Peiyu Shi

    CMC-Computers, Materials & Continua, Vol.77, No.3, pp. 3993-4023, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmc.2023.044526 - 26 December 2023

    Abstract Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) is now the most common network assault. However, the existing threat analysis models cannot simultaneously predict the macro-development trend and micro-propagation path of APT attacks. They cannot provide rapid and accurate early warning and decision responses to the present system state because they are inadequate at deducing the risk evolution rules of network threats. To address the above problems, firstly, this paper constructs the multi-source threat element analysis ontology (MTEAO) by integrating multi-source network security knowledge bases. Subsequently, based on MTEAO, we propose a two-layer threat prediction model (TL-TPM) that combines… More >

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