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Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field

Submission Deadline: 31 December 2021 (closed)

Guest Editors

Prof. Dr. Wei-Chiang Hong, Oriental Institute of Technology, Taiwan
Dr. Yi Liang, Hebei Geo University, China

Summary

Precise resources and energy forecasting is important to facilitate the decision-making process in order to achieve higher efficiency and reliability in energy system planning, maintenance, operation, security, and so on. In the past decades, many resources and energy forecasting models have been continuously proposed to increase the forecasting accuracy, especially intelligence models (e.g., artificial neural networks, support vector regression, evolutionary computation models, etc.). Meanwhile, due to the great development of optimization methods (e.g., quadratic programming method, differential empirical mode method, evolutionary algorithms, etc.), many novel hybrid methods combined with the above-mentioned intelligent-optimization-based methods have also been proposed to achieve satisfactory forecasting accuracy levels. It is worthwhile to explore the tendency and development of intelligent-optimization-based hybrid methodologies and to enrich their practical performances, particularly for resources and energy forecasting.

 

Potential topics include but are not limited to the following:

• hybrid methods

• artificial neural networks methods

• support vector regression methods

• evolutionary computation methods

• quadratic programming methods

• resources forecasting

• energy forecasting



Published Papers


  • Open Access

    EDITORIAL

    Introduction to the Special Issue on Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field

    Wei-Chiang Hong, Yi Liang
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.134, No.2, pp. 763-766, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.023022
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract This article has no abstract. More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Detecting Icing on the Blades of a Wind Turbine Using a Deep Neural Network

    Tingshun Li, Jiaohui Xu, Zesan Liu, Dadi Wang, Wen Tan
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.134, No.2, pp. 767-782, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.020702
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract The blades of wind turbines located at high latitudes are often covered with ice in late autumn and winter, where this affects their capacity for power generation as well as their safety. Accurately identifying the icing of the blades of wind turbines in remote areas is thus important, and a general model is needed to this end. This paper proposes a universal model based on a Deep Neural Network (DNN) that uses data from the Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) system. Two datasets from SCADA are first preprocessed through undersampling, that is, they are labeled, normalized, and balanced. The… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Optimizing Big Data Retrieval and Job Scheduling Using Deep Learning Approaches

    Bao Rong Chang, Hsiu-Fen Tsai, Yu-Chieh Lin
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.134, No.2, pp. 783-815, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.020128
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract Big data analytics in business intelligence do not provide effective data retrieval methods and job scheduling that will cause execution inefficiency and low system throughput. This paper aims to enhance the capability of data retrieval and job scheduling to speed up the operation of big data analytics to overcome inefficiency and low throughput problems. First, integrating stacked sparse autoencoder and Elasticsearch indexing explored fast data searching and distributed indexing, which reduces the search scope of the database and dramatically speeds up data searching. Next, exploiting a deep neural network to predict the approximate execution time of a job gives prioritized… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Metal Corrosion Rate Prediction of Small Samples Using an Ensemble Technique

    Yang Yang, Pengfei Zheng, Fanru Zeng, Peng Xin, Guoxi He, Kexi Liao
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.134, No.1, pp. 267-291, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.020220
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract Accurate prediction of the internal corrosion rates of oil and gas pipelines could be an effective way to prevent pipeline leaks. In this study, a proposed framework for predicting corrosion rates under a small sample of metal corrosion data in the laboratory was developed to provide a new perspective on how to solve the problem of pipeline corrosion under the condition of insufficient real samples. This approach employed the bagging algorithm to construct a strong learner by integrating several KNN learners. A total of 99 data were collected and split into training and test set with a 9:1 ratio. The… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    An Improved Hyperplane Assisted Multiobjective Optimization for Distributed Hybrid Flow Shop Scheduling Problem in Glass Manufacturing Systems

    Yadian Geng, Junqing Li
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.134, No.1, pp. 241-266, 2023, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.020307
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract To solve the distributed hybrid flow shop scheduling problem (DHFS) in raw glass manufacturing systems, we investigated an improved hyperplane assisted evolutionary algorithm (IhpaEA). Two objectives are simultaneously considered, namely, the maximum completion time and the total energy consumptions. Firstly, each solution is encoded by a three-dimensional vector, i.e., factory assignment, scheduling, and machine assignment. Subsequently, an efficient initialization strategy embeds two heuristics are developed, which can increase the diversity of the population. Then, to improve the global search abilities, a Pareto-based crossover operator is designed to take more advantage of non-dominated solutions. Furthermore, a local search heuristic based on… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Effect Evaluation and Intelligent Prediction of Power Substation Project Considering New Energy

    Huiying Wu, Meihua Zou, Ye Ke, Wenqi Ou, Yonghong Li, Minquan Ye
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.132, No.3, pp. 739-761, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.019714
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract The evaluation of the implementation effect of the power substation project can find out the problems of the project more comprehensively, which has important practical significance for the further development of the power substation project. To ensure accuracy and real-time evaluation, this paper proposes a novel hybrid intelligent evaluation and prediction model based on improved TOPSIS and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) optimized by a Sperm Whale Algorithm (SWA). Firstly, under the background of considering the development of new energy, the influencing factors of power substation project implementation effect are analyzed from three aspects of technology, economy and society. Moreover, an… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Comparative Study on Deformation Prediction Models of Wuqiangxi Concrete Gravity Dam Based on Monitoring Data

    Songlin Yang, Xingjin Han, Chufeng Kuang, Weihua Fang, Jianfei Zhang, Tiantang Yu
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.131, No.1, pp. 49-72, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.018325
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract The deformation prediction models of Wuqiangxi concrete gravity dam are developed, including two statistical models and a deep learning model. In the statistical models, the reliable monitoring data are firstly determined with Lahitte criterion; then, the stepwise regression and partial least squares regression models for deformation prediction of concrete gravity dam are constructed in terms of the reliable monitoring data, and the factors of water pressure, temperature and time effect are considered in the models; finally, according to the monitoring data from 2006 to 2020 of five typical measuring points including J23 (on dam section ), J33 (on dam section… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    A Novel Indoor Positioning Framework

    Ming-Chih Chen, Yin-Ting Cheng, Ru-Wei Chen
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.130, No.3, pp. 1459-1477, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.015636
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract Current positioning systems are primarily based on the Global Positioning System (GPS). Although the GPS is accurate within 10 m, it is mainly used for outdoor positioning services (Location-Based Service; LBS). However, since satellite signals cannot penetrate buildings, indoor positioning has always been a blind spot for satellite signals. As indoor positioning applications are extensive with high commercial values, they have created a competitive niche in the market. Existing indoor positioning technologies are unable to achieve less than 10 cm accuracy except for the Ultra Wide Band (UWB) technology. On the other hand, the Bluetooth protocol achieves an accuracy of… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Sustainable Investment Forecasting of Power Grids Based on the Deep Restricted Boltzmann Machine Optimized by the Lion Algorithm

    Qian Wang, Xiaolong Yang, Di Pu, Yingying Fan
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.130, No.1, pp. 269-286, 2022, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2022.016437
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract This paper proposes a new power grid investment prediction model based on the deep restricted Boltzmann machine (DRBM) optimized by the Lion algorithm (LA). Firstly, two factors including transmission and distribution price reform (TDPR) and 5G station construction were comprehensively incorporated into the consideration of influencing factors, and the fuzzy threshold method was used to screen out critical influencing factors. Then, the LA was used to optimize the parameters of the DRBM model to improve the model's prediction accuracy, and the model was trained with the selected influencing factors and investment. Finally, the LA-DRBM model was used to predict the… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Quantification of Urban Sprawl for Past-To-Future in Abha City, Saudi Arabia

    Saeed AlQadhi, Javed Mallick, Swapan Talukdar, Ahmed Ali Bindajam, Ahmed Ali A. Shohan, Shahfahad
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.129, No.2, pp. 755-786, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2021.016640
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract Given that many cities in Saudi Arabia have been observing rapid urbanization since the 1990s, scarce studies on the spatial pattern of urban expansion in Saudi Arabia have been conducted. Therefore, the present study investigates the evidence of land use and land cover (LULC) dynamics and urban sprawl in Abha City of Saudi Arabia, which has been experiencing rapid urbanization, from the past to the future using novel and sophisticated methods. The SVM classifier was used in this study to classify the LULC maps for 1990, 2000, and 2018. The LULC dynamics between 1990–2000, 2000–2018, and 1990–2018 have been analyzed… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Code Transform Model Producing High-Performance Program

    Bao Rong Chang, Hsiu-Fen Tsai, Po-Wen Su
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.129, No.1, pp. 253-277, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2021.015673
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract This paper introduces a novel transform method to produce the newly generated programs through code transform model called the second generation of Generative Pre-trained Transformer (GPT-2) reasonably, improving the program execution performance significantly. Besides, a theoretical estimation in statistics has given the minimum number of generated programs as required, which guarantees to find the best one within them. The proposed approach can help the voice assistant machine resolve the problem of inefficient execution of application code. In addition to GPT-2, this study develops the variational Simhash algorithm to check the code similarity between sample program and newly generated program, and… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Evaluation and Forecasting of Wind Energy Investment Risk along the Belt and Road Based on a Novel Hybrid Intelligent Model

    Liping Yan, Wei-Chiang Hong
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.128, No.3, pp. 1069-1102, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2021.016499
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract The timely and effective investment risk assessment and forecasting are of great significance to ensure the investment safety and sustainable development of wind energy along the Belt and Road. In order to obtain the scientific and real-time forecasting result, this paper constructs a novel hybrid intelligent model based on improved cloud model combined with GRA-TOPSIS and MBA-WLSSVM. Firstly, the factors influencing investment risk of wind energy along the Belt and Road are identified from three dimensions: endogenous risk, exogenous risk and process risk. Through the fuzzy threshold method, the final input index system is selected. Secondly, the risk evaluation method… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Improve the Accuracy of Fall Detection Based on Artificial Intelligence Algorithm

    Ming-Chih Chen, Yin-Ting Cheng, Ru-Wei Chen
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.128, No.3, pp. 1103-1119, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2021.015589
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract This work presents a fall detection system based on artificial intelligence. The system incorporates miniature wearable devices for fall detection. Fall detection is achieved by integrating a three-axis gyroscope and a three-axis accelerometer. The system gathers the differential data collected by the gyroscope and accelerometer, applies artificial intelligence algorithms for model training and constructs an effective model for fall detection. To provide easy wearing and effective position detection, it is designed as a small device attached to the user’s waist. Experiment results have shown that the accuracy of the proposed fall detection model is up to 98%, demonstrating the effectiveness… More >

  • Open Access

    ARTICLE

    Forecasting Model of Photovoltaic Power Based on KPCA-MCS-DCNN

    Huizhi Gou, Yuncai Ning
    CMES-Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences, Vol.128, No.2, pp. 803-822, 2021, DOI:10.32604/cmes.2021.015922
    (This article belongs to this Special Issue: Hybrid Intelligent Methods for Forecasting in Resources and Energy Field)
    Abstract Accurate photovoltaic (PV) power prediction can effectively help the power sector to make rational energy planning and dispatching decisions, promote PV consumption, make full use of renewable energy and alleviate energy problems. To address this research objective, this paper proposes a prediction model based on kernel principal component analysis (KPCA), modified cuckoo search algorithm (MCS) and deep convolutional neural networks (DCNN). Firstly, KPCA is utilized to reduce the dimension of the feature, which aims to reduce the redundant input vectors. Then using MCS to optimize the parameters of DCNN. Finally, the photovoltaic power forecasting method of KPCA-MCS-DCNN is established. In… More >

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